Water Is Quietly Becoming One of the Biggest Risks in Energy

A decade ago, China was widely expected to become a shale powerhouse. By some estimates, it holds more technically recoverable shale gas than the United States, and there was real optimism that it could replicate the U.S. shale revolution. So far, that surge hasn’t materialized. China’s gas production is rising, but in 2025 accounted for only 6% of the world’s production, a far cry from the U.S. share of 25%. There are several reasons for this, including more complex geology and deeper formations, but one factor receives far less…