Euro: ECB caution meets France risk – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to hold rates at 2.50%, with markets still pricing a strong chance of a December hike to 2.75%. While contained core inflation and tighter financial conditions justify waiting, France’s fiscal and bond market strains are highlighted as a key risk that could leave EUR/USD vulnerable to further downside.