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5.27% Treasuries keep turning Iran diplomacy into a rates trade

EU mid-market update: 5.27% Treasuries keep turning Iran diplomacy into a rates trade; OpenAI cancels next-gen model ahead of DevDay due to safety concerns; Anthropic asks public markets to inherit $5 ...

GBP/USD Elliott Wave: Bearish impulse opens room toward 1.3150–1.3000 [Video]

GBPUSD is falling sharply, and this looks like it could be part of a bearish impulse. A break below the lower trend line of a bearish base channel normally points to a potential acceleration into wave ...

Japanese Yen steadies as intervention risks keep traders cautious

USD/JPY trades around 157.40 on Tuesday at the time of writing, virtually unchanged on the day.

RBA delivered a risk management hike – TD Securities

TD Securities Macro Research’s Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) note argues that the September 25bps hike to 4.60% was a risk-management move rather than the start of a new tightening cycle. The team e ...

Italy 5-y Bond Auction came in at 4.08%, above expectations (0%)

Italy 10-y Bond Auction came in at 4.58%, above forecasts (0%)

United Kingdom 10-y Bond Auction registered at 5.383% above expectations (0%)

Belgium Consumer Price Index (MoM) down to 0.39% in September from previous 0.4%

Belgium Consumer Price Index (YoY) increased to 4.69% in September from previous 3.97%

Oil: Higher prices keep pressure on central banks – Scotiabank

Scotiabank’s FX strategy team highlights Oil as a primary market focus, with recent gains linked to deteriorating US–Iran negotiations and President Trump’s rejection of Iran’s proposal to reopen the ...

US Dollar: Payrolls risk supports near term gains – OCBC

OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that resilient US data, elevated Treasury yields and higher Oil prices are keeping the Dollar supported.

Packed day ahead

In the FX market, the USD continued to strengthen, driven by high market expectations for the Fed to continue to tighten its monetary policy.